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Qual 102025 FIM District Mt. Pleasant Event
Red27
828615.4
607111.4
975911.8
Blue118
965021.0
610023.8
353651.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526802040608010012027118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+81
Endgame+91
Fouls+91
AutonomousBlue +27
3Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
3Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +54
4Coral scored#13
14Coral points48
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
18Total teleop72
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +91
0Foul points0
27Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8286
#35
15.43.0
17.2→14.2
Auto1.9
Teleop11.3
End2.2
blue by 36.1
3536
#1
51.55.1
32.2→37.3
Auto12.4
Teleop30.3
End8.7
Second
9759
#36
11.81.8
14.9→13.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End0.9
blue by 12.0
6100
#25
23.85.1
19.5→24.7
Auto3.8
Teleop16.2
End3.8
Third
6071
#34
11.43.0
16.2→13.1
Auto2.0
Teleop6.8
End2.7
blue by 9.5
9650
#10
21.03.1
8.3→11.4
Auto4.0
Teleop15.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned