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Qual 92025 FIM District Mt. Pleasant Event
Red70
522921.5
1058713.3
20133.6
Blue138
521652.3
851730.7
571237.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6511305010015070138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+66
Endgame+68
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave3
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points21
23Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +65
6Coral scored#23
21Coral points82
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
43Total teleop108
Reef
4L4#9
4L3#11
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points0
70Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#7
33.60.7
30.1→29.4
Auto7.9
Teleop22.5
End3.2
blue by 18.8
5216
#3
52.33.2
32.3→35.5
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End1.0
Second
5229
#21
21.50.7
16.1→15.4
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End1.5
blue by 15.8
5712
#13
37.33.2
37.8→41.1
Auto3.4
Teleop30.6
End3.3
Third
10587
#40
13.30.7
15.9→15.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End1.0
blue by 17.5
8517
#18
30.73.2
25.1→28.3
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsMissed