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Red64
887323.2
361815.9
531426.5
Blue67
400339.6
956812.8
967218.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8061020401001201406467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +2
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
48Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
64Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5314
#16
26.50.6
20.319.7
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End5.7
blue by 13.1
39.61.1
31.632.7
Auto7.3
Teleop30.6
End1.8
Second
8873
#15
23.20.6
28.027.4
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End1.6
red by 5.0
18.20.7
13.814.5
Auto3.4
Teleop12.5
End2.3
Third
3618
#30
15.90.6
21.120.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
red by 3.1
9568
#17
12.80.7
11.312.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed