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Red97
535241.5
240530.7
159615.9
Blue56
664210.4
603322.9
553434.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74683040506080901001109756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+31Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
9Coral scored#6
34Coral points23
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
68Total teleop41
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
97Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.541.5
61.720.2
Auto11.1
Teleop24.6
End5.8
red by 6.8
34.71.6
25.623.9
Auto4.5
Teleop25.5
End4.7
Second
30.72.4
24.627.0
Auto4.7
Teleop23.5
End2.6
red by 7.9
6033
#22
22.91.6
18.616.9
Auto3.6
Teleop15.6
End3.7
Third
1596
#23
15.92.4
21.323.7
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
red by 5.5
6642
#29
10.41.6
15.814.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed