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Red104
20133.6
975911.8
535241.5
Blue117
361815.9
353651.5
159615.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6799204080120140160180104117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+1
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points30
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +3
15Coral scored#16
54Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
74Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#4
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
104Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.53.7
17.421.2
Auto11.1
Teleop24.6
End5.8
blue by 10.0
51.52.6
37.339.9
Auto12.4
Teleop30.3
End8.7
Second
201
#7
33.63.7
29.433.1
Auto7.9
Teleop22.5
End3.2
red by 17.6
3618
#30
15.92.6
20.523.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
Third
9759
#36
11.82.2
13.115.3
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End0.9
blue by 4.0
1596
#23
15.92.6
23.726.3
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned