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Red53
967321.1
531426.5
592612.1
Blue72
954211.6
553434.7
851730.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6871204060801001205372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+13
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +25
3Coral scored#9
11Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
21Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#14
BargeRed +6
16Cage & park10
16Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points6
53Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5314
#16
26.51.0
19.718.6
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End5.7
blue by 8.2
34.70.3
21.121.4
Auto4.5
Teleop25.5
End4.7
Second
9673
#11
21.11.0
18.817.7
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End3.7
blue by 9.7
8517
#18
30.70.3
28.328.5
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End5.4
Third
5926
#26
12.11.0
20.919.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End5.1
red by 0.5
9542
#31
11.60.3
11.511.8
Auto2.1
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed