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Red39
71099.6
1054714.6
523117.7
Blue77
261921.5
967218.2
522921.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49530204060801001203977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+24
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points15
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +18
7Coral scored#10
24Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
28Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
39Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5231
#32
17.72.0
18.116.1
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End0.9
blue by 3.8
2619
#12
21.51.8
19.220.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End5.3
Second
14.62.0
15.913.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.6
End2.4
blue by 6.9
5229
#21
21.51.8
15.417.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End1.5
Third
7109
#33
9.62.0
12.610.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End1.8
blue by 8.6
18.21.1
14.515.6
Auto3.4
Teleop12.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned