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Red65
696313.3
603322.9
965021.0
Blue87
598219.0
521652.3
664210.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4077020601001201406587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+54
Endgame+52
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +47
3Coral scored#15
10Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
20Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
7Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
30Foul points0
65Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6033
#22
22.90.7
15.614.9
Auto3.6
Teleop15.6
End3.7
blue by 29.5
52.32.4
35.537.9
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End1.0
Second
9650
#10
21.00.4
11.411.0
Auto4.0
Teleop15.0
End2.0
red by 2.0
5982
#24
19.02.4
12.815.2
Auto4.5
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Third
6963
#28
13.30.7
11.310.7
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End2.7
red by 2.9
6642
#29
10.42.4
14.216.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed