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Red48
653317.9
956812.8
887323.2
Blue37
240530.7
370722.7
607111.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5573204060801001204837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +2
5Coral scored#5
19Coral points17
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
23Total teleop21
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
10Foul points6
48Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8873
#15
23.21.3
26.124.8
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End1.6
blue by 7.6
30.73.5
24.821.2
Auto4.7
Teleop23.5
End2.6
Second
6533
#19
17.91.3
12.411.0
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End2.5
blue by 4.8
3707
#27
22.73.5
26.122.6
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Third
9568
#17
12.80.8
11.610.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.7
red by 1.4
6071
#34
11.43.5
11.98.3
Auto2.0
Teleop6.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned