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Red105
353651.5
592612.1
828615.4
Blue37
968513.5
361815.9
498317.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8553020406010012014010537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+54Teleop
+74Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +53
15Coral scored#3
53Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
63Total teleop10
Reef
8L4#2
3L3#1
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#5
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points6
105Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.53.7
39.943.6
Auto12.4
Teleop30.3
End8.7
red by 34.5
4983
#20
17.02.1
15.213.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Second
8286
#35
15.43.7
11.615.3
Auto1.9
Teleop11.3
End2.2
blue by 0.5
3618
#30
15.92.1
23.121.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
Third
5926
#26
12.13.7
19.923.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End5.1
blue by 1.3
9685
#37
13.52.1
11.29.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed