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Red59
71099.6
261921.5
20133.6
Blue34
965021.0
887323.2
968513.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions824802040601001201405934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+23Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave3
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points9
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
6Coral scored#3
23Coral points12
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
33Total teleop18
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
59Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#7
33.60.7
30.129.5
Auto7.9
Teleop22.5
End3.2
red by 10.4
8873
#15
23.21.4
24.823.4
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End1.6
Second
2619
#12
21.50.7
23.723.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End5.3
red by 0.6
9650
#10
21.00.8
12.611.8
Auto4.0
Teleop15.0
End2.0
Third
7109
#33
9.60.7
11.110.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End1.8
blue by 3.9
9685
#37
13.51.4
9.17.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed