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Red26
523117.7
498317.0
696313.3
Blue33
598219.0
592612.1
361815.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions447102060801001202633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +10
2Coral scored#4
8Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
8Total teleop18
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
26Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5231
#32
17.71.6
14.613.0
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End0.9
blue by 1.2
5982
#24
19.03.2
17.314.1
Auto4.5
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Second
4983
#20
17.01.6
13.111.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
red by 1.0
3618
#30
15.93.2
21.117.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
Third
6963
#28
13.31.6
12.711.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End2.7
red by 1.2
5926
#26
12.13.2
23.620.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed