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Qual 302025 FIM District Mt. Pleasant Event
Red63
1054714.6
612130.5
954211.6
Blue95
975911.8
553434.7
400339.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6285020401001201406395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+28
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +25
12Coral scored#16
43Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
57Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
63Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6121
#9
30.50.5
28.2→27.8
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
blue by 9.1
4003
#4
39.61.1
34.2→35.3
Auto7.3
Teleop30.6
End1.8
Second
10547
#39
14.60.5
15.4→15.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.6
End2.4
blue by 20.1
5534
#8
34.71.1
25.3→26.4
Auto4.5
Teleop25.5
End4.7
Third
9542
#31
11.60.5
12.2→11.8
Auto2.1
Teleop7.0
End2.4
blue by 0.3
9759
#36
11.80.7
14.5→15.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed