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Qual 312025 FIM District Mt. Pleasant Event
Red93
522921.5
521652.3
603322.9
Blue60
828615.4
556014.7
967321.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions964602060801201401609360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
52Total teleop39
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
12Foul points6
93Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#3
52.30.2
41.8→41.6
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End1.0
red by 31.2
9673
#11
21.10.4
14.8→15.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End3.7
Second
6033
#22
22.90.2
13.8→13.5
Auto3.6
Teleop15.6
End3.7
red by 7.4
8286
#35
15.40.4
15.3→15.8
Auto1.9
Teleop11.3
End2.2
Third
5229
#21
21.50.2
18.7→18.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End1.5
red by 6.7
5560
#38
14.70.4
11.6→12.1
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed