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Red107
240530.7
571237.3
653317.9
Blue65
851730.7
956812.8
159615.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7677405060709010011010765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+48Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +52
16Coral scored#6
56Coral points22
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
94Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#3
6L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +6
4Cage & park10
4Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
107Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#13
37.33.9
34.238.2
Auto3.4
Teleop30.6
End3.3
red by 6.5
8517
#18
30.70.5
30.129.7
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End5.4
Second
30.73.9
21.225.2
Auto4.7
Teleop23.5
End2.6
red by 14.9
1596
#23
15.90.5
22.221.7
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Third
6533
#19
17.93.9
11.014.9
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End2.5
red by 5.1
9568
#17
12.80.3
10.810.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed