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Red23
1058713.3
592612.1
887323.2
Blue96
535241.5
71099.6
612130.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66683040506080902396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+51
Endgame+61
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +30
2Coral scored#6
8Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
8Total teleop38
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points12
23Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8873
#15
23.24.1
23.419.2
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End1.6
blue by 18.3
41.52.9
20.022.9
Auto11.1
Teleop24.6
End5.8
Second
13.34.1
16.512.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End1.0
blue by 17.2
30.52.9
27.830.6
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Third
5926
#26
12.14.1
20.416.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End5.1
red by 2.5
7109
#33
9.62.9
10.413.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned