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Red83
400339.6
828615.4
523117.7
Blue40
954211.6
975911.8
522921.5
76%Model gave it24%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765102040601001201408340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+47Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +37
10Coral scored#6
37Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
65Total teleop28
Reef
4L4#1
5L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
83Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.61.4
35.336.7
Auto7.3
Teleop30.6
End1.8
red by 18.2
5229
#21
21.51.9
18.516.6
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End1.5
Second
5231
#32
17.71.4
13.014.5
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End0.9
red by 5.9
9759
#36
11.81.1
15.114.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End0.9
Third
8286
#35
15.41.4
15.817.2
Auto1.9
Teleop11.3
End2.2
red by 3.8
9542
#31
11.61.9
11.89.9
Auto2.1
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed