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Red47
664210.4
498317.0
965021.0
Blue42
361815.9
607111.4
1054714.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384702060804742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+1Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
4Coral scored#8
16Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
26Total teleop31
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#10
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
47Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9650
#10
21.00.9
11.812.7
Auto4.0
Teleop15.0
End2.0
red by 5.0
3618
#30
15.90.5
17.918.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
Second
4983
#20
17.01.5
11.513.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
red by 2.4
14.60.5
15.015.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.6
End2.4
Third
6642
#29
10.41.5
10.311.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.1
blue by 1.0
6071
#34
11.40.5
4.24.8
Auto2.0
Teleop6.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed