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Red53
968513.5
159615.9
171123.1
Blue124
240530.7
696313.3
521652.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4794020608012014016053124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+85
Endgame+77
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave0
2Coral scored#6
12Coral points30
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +67
4Coral scored#19
15Coral points68
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
23Total teleop90
Reef
3L4#6
1L3#10
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#5
8Game pieces#30
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
6Foul points0
53Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1711
#14
23.10.4
18.117.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End5.7
blue by 29.2
52.34.8
41.646.4
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End1.0
Second
1596
#23
15.90.4
21.721.3
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
blue by 14.9
30.74.8
25.230.0
Auto4.7
Teleop23.5
End2.6
Third
9685
#37
13.50.4
7.77.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.5
red by 0.2
6963
#28
13.34.8
11.116.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed