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Qual 382025 FIM District Mt. Pleasant Event
Red64
556014.7
851730.7
1058713.3
Blue91
610023.8
535241.5
598219.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68640501001502006491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+15
Endgame+21
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
9Coral scored#10
31Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
41Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +6
10Cage & park16
10Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points6
64Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8517
#18
30.70.2
29.7→29.9
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End5.4
blue by 10.7
5352
#2
41.52.8
22.9→25.7
Auto11.1
Teleop24.6
End5.8
Second
5560
#38
14.70.2
12.1→12.3
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 9.1
6100
#25
23.82.8
14.0→16.8
Auto3.8
Teleop16.2
End3.8
Third
10587
#40
13.30.2
12.4→12.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End1.0
blue by 5.7
5982
#24
19.02.8
14.1→16.8
Auto4.5
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned