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Red52
553434.7
370722.7
956812.8
Blue101
967218.2
571237.3
20133.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649620408012014016052101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+39
Endgame+41
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +36
8Coral scored#11
29Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#7
6Processor points6
4Net points28
10Algae points34
39Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points8
52Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.6
26.425.8
Auto4.5
Teleop25.5
End4.7
blue by 2.6
5712
#13
37.31.3
38.239.5
Auto3.4
Teleop30.6
End3.3
Second
3707
#27
22.70.6
20.519.9
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6
blue by 10.8
201
#7
33.61.3
29.530.8
Auto7.9
Teleop22.5
End3.2
Third
9568
#17
12.80.4
10.510.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.7
blue by 5.4
18.20.8
13.514.3
Auto3.4
Teleop12.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed