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Red99
603322.9
353651.5
967321.1
Blue64
653317.9
531426.5
261921.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826420401001201409964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +21
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points31
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
12Processor points0
4Net points8
16Algae points8
60Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
99Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.52.5
41.544.0
Auto12.4
Teleop30.3
End8.7
red by 24.9
5314
#16
26.50.1
19.619.7
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End5.7
Second
6033
#22
22.92.5
13.516.1
Auto3.6
Teleop15.6
End3.7
red by 1.3
2619
#12
21.50.1
23.023.2
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End5.3
Third
9673
#11
21.12.5
15.217.7
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End3.7
red by 3.2
6533
#19
17.90.1
14.915.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed