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Red37
828615.4
240530.7
361815.9
Blue85
887323.2
1054714.6
400339.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71812040601001203785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+46
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +39
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
24Total teleop63
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
37Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.73.2
30.026.8
Auto4.7
Teleop23.5
End2.6
blue by 8.9
39.61.5
36.738.2
Auto7.3
Teleop30.6
End1.8
Second
3618
#30
15.93.2
18.415.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
blue by 7.2
8873
#15
23.21.5
19.220.7
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End1.6
Third
8286
#35
15.43.2
17.214.0
Auto1.9
Teleop11.3
End2.2
red by 0.9
14.61.5
15.517.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed