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Red60
171123.1
954211.6
498317.0
Blue50
159615.9
1058713.3
965021.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485330405060706050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +2
6Coral scored#6
20Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
34Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#9
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
60Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1711
#14
23.11.6
17.719.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End5.7
red by 2.2
9650
#10
21.00.2
12.712.5
Auto4.0
Teleop15.0
End2.0
Second
4983
#20
17.01.6
13.014.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
red by 1.1
1596
#23
15.90.3
21.321.0
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Third
9542
#31
11.61.6
9.911.4
Auto2.1
Teleop7.0
End2.4
blue by 1.7
13.30.3
12.612.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed