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Red75
522921.5
664210.4
610023.8
Blue69
956812.8
20133.6
592612.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587402040801001207569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
Endgame+6
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
52Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
12Foul points0
75Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6100
#25
23.80.7
16.816.1
Auto3.8
Teleop16.2
End3.8
blue by 9.7
201
#7
33.60.4
30.830.4
Auto7.9
Teleop22.5
End3.2
Second
5229
#21
21.50.7
16.615.9
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End1.5
red by 8.6
9568
#17
12.80.2
10.210.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Third
6642
#29
10.40.7
11.811.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.1
blue by 1.7
5926
#26
12.10.4
16.315.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed