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Red78
553434.7
531426.5
607111.4
Blue55
261921.5
523117.7
556014.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595402040801007855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+23Teleop
+21Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +22
11Coral scored#6
39Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
49Total teleop27
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
2Foul points0
78Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.72.2
25.828.0
Auto4.5
Teleop25.5
End4.7
red by 13.1
2619
#12
21.50.0
23.223.1
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End5.3
Second
5314
#16
26.52.2
19.721.9
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End5.7
red by 8.8
5231
#32
17.70.0
14.514.4
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End0.9
Third
6071
#34
11.42.2
4.87.0
Auto2.0
Teleop6.8
End2.7
blue by 3.3
5560
#38
14.70.0
12.312.3
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsEarned