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Red105
696313.3
353651.5
851730.7
Blue36
887323.2
664210.4
954211.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10447015010536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+55Teleop
+69Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +41
10Coral scored#4
37Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
61Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#2
6L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#5
BargeRed +14
18Cage & park4
18Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
6Foul points6
105Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.51.7
41.343.0
Auto12.4
Teleop30.3
End8.7
red by 28.3
8873
#15
23.21.4
20.719.4
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End1.6
Second
8517
#18
30.71.7
28.930.6
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End5.4
red by 19.1
9542
#31
11.61.4
11.410.1
Auto2.1
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Third
6963
#28
13.31.7
12.514.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End2.7
red by 2.9
6642
#29
10.41.4
11.19.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed