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Red47
603322.9
261921.5
956812.8
Blue36
361815.9
523117.7
1058713.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5545020801001204736

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+3
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
4Coral scored#4
14Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
22Total teleop25
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#7
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
47Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6033
#22
22.90.2
15.815.6
Auto3.6
Teleop15.6
End3.7
red by 5.1
5231
#32
17.70.6
14.413.8
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End0.9
Second
2619
#12
21.50.2
23.122.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End5.3
red by 5.6
3618
#30
15.90.6
15.214.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
Third
9568
#17
12.80.1
10.09.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.7
blue by 0.5
13.30.6
12.311.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed