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Red85
592612.1
521652.3
607111.4
Blue77
967218.2
553434.7
653317.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765820401001201408577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+22Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +8
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
57Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#3
6L3#5
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
85Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.31.9
43.745.6
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End1.0
red by 17.7
34.72.3
28.030.3
Auto4.5
Teleop25.5
End4.7
Second
5926
#26
12.11.9
15.917.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End5.1
blue by 6.1
18.21.5
14.115.6
Auto3.4
Teleop12.5
End2.3
Third
6071
#34
11.41.9
7.08.9
Auto2.0
Teleop6.8
End2.7
blue by 6.5
6533
#19
17.92.3
12.314.7
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsEarned