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Red59
370722.7
598219.0
968513.5
Blue60
531426.5
159615.9
975911.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49670204060801005960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
8Coral scored#11
29Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
43Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
59Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3707
#27
22.70.2
20.120.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6
blue by 3.8
5314
#16
26.50.9
21.921.0
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End5.7
Second
5982
#24
19.00.2
16.516.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.7
End1.7
red by 3.1
1596
#23
15.90.9
21.020.2
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Third
9685
#37
13.50.2
10.410.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.5
red by 1.6
9759
#36
11.80.6
13.412.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed