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Red96
1058713.3
531426.5
353651.5
Blue102
240530.7
965021.0
967218.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9058020408010012014096102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+2Teleop
+12Endgame
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +5
0Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points15
20Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +3
10Coral scored#13
36Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
60Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points18
96Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.52.0
43.044.9
Auto12.4
Teleop30.3
End8.7
red by 20.7
30.72.5
26.328.8
Auto4.7
Teleop23.5
End2.6
Second
5314
#16
26.52.0
21.023.0
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End5.7
red by 5.6
9650
#10
21.01.7
16.017.7
Auto4.0
Teleop15.0
End2.0
Third
13.32.0
11.713.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End1.0
blue by 4.9
18.21.7
15.617.3
Auto3.4
Teleop12.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed