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Red57
498317.0
967321.1
975911.8
Blue86
20133.6
887323.2
556014.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52720204060801001201405786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+29
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
8Coral scored#12
27Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
41Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
57Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9673
#11
21.10.4
19.720.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End3.7
blue by 12.5
201
#7
33.61.9
29.931.8
Auto7.9
Teleop22.5
End3.2
Second
4983
#20
17.00.4
14.114.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 6.2
8873
#15
23.21.9
19.421.3
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End1.6
Third
9759
#36
11.80.3
12.813.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End0.9
blue by 2.9
5560
#38
14.71.9
11.713.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed