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Red70
159615.9
400339.6
71099.6
Blue38
592612.1
1054714.6
571237.3
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828440506070901001107038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+44Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
9Coral scored#3
32Coral points9
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
12Processor points0
12Net points0
24Algae points0
56Total teleop9
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
6Foul points6
70Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.61.1
41.140.1
Auto7.3
Teleop30.6
End1.8
red by 2.4
5712
#13
37.34.2
38.734.5
Auto3.4
Teleop30.6
End3.3
Second
1596
#23
15.91.1
20.219.1
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
red by 1.3
14.64.2
16.512.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.6
End2.4
Third
7109
#33
9.61.1
10.79.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End1.8
blue by 2.5
5926
#26
12.14.2
17.813.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsEarned