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Red158
521652.3
535241.5
370722.7
Blue83
523117.7
954211.6
610023.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12841010015020015883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+65Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave6
9Coral scored#1
44Coral points3
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
21Coral scored#16
74Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
98Total teleop68
Reef
12L4#8
5L3#5
8L2#3
5L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
158Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.34.1
45.649.7
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End1.0
red by 28.5
6100
#25
23.82.5
15.518.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.2
End3.8
Second
41.54.1
34.238.3
Auto11.1
Teleop24.6
End5.8
red by 23.7
5231
#32
17.72.5
13.816.3
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End0.9
Third
3707
#27
22.74.1
20.224.3
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6
red by 11.1
9542
#31
11.62.5
10.112.5
Auto2.1
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed