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Red59
1058713.3
967218.2
612130.5
Blue56
968513.5
828615.4
531426.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625202040801001201405956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+7Teleop
Endgame+3
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
8Coral scored#6
29Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
35Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points0
59Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.4
26.826.4
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
red by 4.0
5314
#16
26.50.6
23.023.6
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End5.7
Second
18.20.3
17.317.0
Auto3.4
Teleop12.5
End2.3
red by 2.8
8286
#35
15.40.6
14.314.9
Auto1.9
Teleop11.3
End2.2
Third
13.30.4
13.613.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End1.0
blue by 0.2
9685
#37
13.50.6
11.612.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned