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Red81
967321.1
240530.7
851730.7
Blue72
20133.6
171123.1
607111.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94672040801201401608172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+19Teleop
+5Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
52Total teleop37
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +14
10Cage & park24
10Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
6Foul points2
81Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8517
#18
30.71.0
30.930.0
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End5.4
blue by 2.8
201
#7
33.60.4
31.832.3
Auto7.9
Teleop22.5
End3.2
Second
30.71.0
28.827.9
Auto4.7
Teleop23.5
End2.6
red by 7.6
1711
#14
23.10.4
18.018.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End5.7
Third
9673
#11
21.11.0
20.119.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End3.7
red by 9.7
6071
#34
11.40.4
9.910.4
Auto2.0
Teleop6.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned