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Qual 642025 FIM District Mt. Pleasant Event
Red28
975911.8
887323.2
370722.7
Blue69
1054714.6
553434.7
696313.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676202040801001201401602869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+23
Endgame+35
Fouls+41
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
2Coral scored#8
8Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
12Total teleop38
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points6
28Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8873
#15
23.22.7
21.3→18.5
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End1.6
blue by 11.5
5534
#8
34.70.7
30.1→30.8
Auto4.5
Teleop25.5
End4.7
Second
3707
#27
22.72.7
24.3→21.6
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6
red by 8.2
10547
#39
14.60.7
12.3→13.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.6
End2.4
Third
9759
#36
11.82.0
13.1→11.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End0.9
blue by 1.5
6963
#28
13.30.7
12.8→13.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned