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Red83
610023.8
653317.9
171123.1
Blue88
603322.9
523117.7
20133.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5985020401001201408388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+17
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
51Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#6
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
83Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6100
#25
23.81.5
18.019.5
Auto3.8
Teleop16.2
End3.8
blue by 9.7
201
#7
33.60.9
32.333.2
Auto7.9
Teleop22.5
End3.2
Second
1711
#14
23.11.3
18.419.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End5.7
red by 0.3
6033
#22
22.91.0
16.617.6
Auto3.6
Teleop15.6
End3.7
Third
6533
#19
17.91.5
15.116.5
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End2.5
red by 0.2
5231
#32
17.71.0
16.317.2
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed