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Red58
851730.7
967218.2
592612.1
Blue39
975911.8
968513.5
1054714.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions683802060801001205839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+5Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +8
4Coral scored#3
16Coral points12
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
26Total teleop18
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#6
BargeRed +14
20Cage & park6
20Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
58Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8517
#18
30.70.1
30.029.9
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End5.4
red by 16.2
14.60.2
13.013.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.6
End2.4
Second
18.20.1
17.016.9
Auto3.4
Teleop12.5
End2.3
red by 4.7
9685
#37
13.50.2
12.312.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.5
Third
5926
#26
12.10.1
12.312.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End5.1
red by 0.3
9759
#36
11.80.2
11.111.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed