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Red107
553434.7
522921.5
240530.7
Blue86
965021.0
370722.7
361815.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9562020408012014010786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+19Teleop
+33Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +22
12Coral scored#9
43Coral points33
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
24Processor points12
12Net points12
36Algae points24
79Total teleop57
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#15
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points12
107Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.72.3
30.833.1
Auto4.5
Teleop25.5
End4.7
red by 12.0
3707
#27
22.71.4
21.623.0
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Second
30.72.3
27.930.2
Auto4.7
Teleop23.5
End2.6
red by 9.8
9650
#10
21.01.2
17.819.0
Auto4.0
Teleop15.0
End2.0
Third
5229
#21
21.52.3
17.019.4
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End1.5
red by 5.5
3618
#30
15.91.4
14.115.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed