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Red137
571237.3
353651.5
887323.2
Blue80
556014.7
612130.5
598219.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1145610015013780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+41Teleop
+51Endgame
+57Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +41
18Coral scored#10
63Coral points36
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
101Total teleop60
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
6Foul points0
137Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.51.8
45.747.5
Auto12.4
Teleop30.3
End8.7
red by 20.9
30.51.3
26.427.6
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Second
5712
#13
37.31.8
35.737.6
Auto3.4
Teleop30.6
End3.3
red by 18.3
5982
#24
19.01.3
17.718.9
Auto4.5
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Third
8873
#15
23.21.8
18.520.4
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End1.6
red by 8.5
5560
#38
14.71.3
12.413.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed