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Qual 712025 FIM District Mt. Pleasant Event
Red47
607111.4
696313.3
261921.5
Blue78
828615.4
653317.9
535241.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4678020601001201404778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+29
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +23
5Coral scored#8
19Coral points30
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
27Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
47Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#12
21.50.1
23.9→23.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End5.3
blue by 19.9
5352
#2
41.50.6
38.6→39.3
Auto11.1
Teleop24.6
End5.8
Second
6963
#28
13.30.1
13.5→13.4
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End2.7
blue by 4.6
6533
#19
17.90.6
16.5→17.2
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End2.5
Third
6071
#34
11.40.1
10.4→10.3
Auto2.0
Teleop6.8
End2.7
blue by 4.0
8286
#35
15.40.6
14.9→15.5
Auto1.9
Teleop11.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned