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Qual 722025 FIM District Mt. Pleasant Event
Red92
523117.7
159615.9
967321.1
Blue48
664210.4
1058713.3
400339.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6577020401001201409248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+36Teleop
+38Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +40
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
6Processor points0
20Net points4
26Algae points4
68Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
6Foul points0
92Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9673
#11
21.10.6
19.1→19.8
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End3.7
blue by 18.6
4003
#4
39.62.0
39.5→37.5
Auto7.3
Teleop30.6
End1.8
Second
5231
#32
17.70.6
17.2→17.9
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End0.9
red by 4.5
10587
#40
13.32.0
13.2→11.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End1.0
Third
1596
#23
15.90.6
17.8→18.5
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
red by 5.5
6642
#29
10.42.0
11.3→9.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed