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Red79
956812.8
954211.6
521652.3
Blue78
531426.5
498317.0
603322.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions855920401001201401607978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+15Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +11
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
61Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
79Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.30.5
49.149.7
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End1.0
red by 25.8
5314
#16
26.51.9
23.625.5
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End5.7
Second
9568
#17
12.80.4
10.010.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.7
blue by 10.0
6033
#22
22.91.9
17.619.4
Auto3.6
Teleop15.6
End3.7
Third
9542
#31
11.60.5
13.313.8
Auto2.1
Teleop7.0
End2.4
blue by 5.4
4983
#20
17.01.9
14.015.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned