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Qual 742025 FIM District Mt. Pleasant Event
Red78
71099.6
598219.0
553434.7
Blue88
610023.8
975911.8
240530.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79720501001502007888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+8
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +5
14Coral scored#12
51Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
65Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#5
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
78Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5534
#8
34.70.0
33.1→33.1
Auto4.5
Teleop25.5
End4.7
red by 3.9
2405
#6
30.70.7
30.2→30.9
Auto4.7
Teleop23.5
End2.6
Second
5982
#24
19.00.0
18.9→19.0
Auto4.5
Teleop12.7
End1.7
blue by 4.9
6100
#25
23.80.7
19.5→20.2
Auto3.8
Teleop16.2
End3.8
Third
7109
#33
9.60.1
9.7→9.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End1.8
blue by 2.2
9759
#36
11.80.6
11.2→11.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed