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Red76
653317.9
20133.6
361815.9
Blue37
592612.1
968513.5
696313.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions743402060801001207637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+49Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave9
3Coral scored#0
15Coral points0
24Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
7Coral scored#2
26Coral points8
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
46Total teleop12
Reef
5L4#1
2L3#0
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
76Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#7
33.60.7
33.233.9
Auto7.9
Teleop22.5
End3.2
red by 20.1
9685
#37
13.50.1
12.512.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.5
Second
6533
#19
17.90.7
17.217.9
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End2.5
red by 4.6
6963
#28
13.30.1
13.413.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Third
3618
#30
15.90.7
15.616.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
red by 3.8
5926
#26
12.10.1
12.212.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned