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Red85
400339.6
556014.7
965021.0
Blue69
370722.7
851730.7
523117.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions788240601001208569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+18Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points4
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +12
11Coral scored#11
38Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
60Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
6Cage & park8
6Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
85Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.61.1
37.538.6
Auto7.3
Teleop30.6
End1.8
red by 8.9
8517
#18
30.70.1
29.929.7
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End5.4
Second
9650
#10
21.01.0
19.019.9
Auto4.0
Teleop15.0
End2.0
blue by 1.8
3707
#27
22.70.1
23.022.9
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Third
5560
#38
14.71.1
13.614.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 3.0
5231
#32
17.70.1
17.917.7
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed