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Red101
521652.3
967321.1
1054714.6
Blue121
353651.5
612130.5
956812.8
46%Model gave it54%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9710120406080120140160180101121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
7Coral scored#5
33Coral points27
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +13
12Coral scored#14
42Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
62Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
101Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.31.4
49.751.0
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End1.0
red by 0.9
51.52.6
47.550.1
Auto12.4
Teleop30.3
End8.7
Second
9673
#11
21.11.4
19.821.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End3.7
blue by 9.4
30.52.6
27.630.3
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Third
14.61.4
13.214.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.6
End2.4
red by 1.7
9568
#17
12.82.4
10.512.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned