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Red96
887323.2
965021.0
851730.7
Blue64
612130.5
522921.5
967218.2
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8385607080901001109664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+22Teleop
+28Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
13Coral scored#10
48Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
66Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#14
BargeRed +6
8Cage & park2
8Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +32
6Foul points2
96Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8517
#18
30.70.4
29.429.8
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End5.4
red by 0.2
30.50.2
30.730.5
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Second
8873
#15
23.20.4
21.822.3
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End1.6
red by 1.7
5229
#21
21.50.2
21.621.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End1.5
Third
9650
#10
21.00.4
19.620.0
Auto4.0
Teleop15.0
End2.0
red by 2.7
18.20.2
18.418.2
Auto3.4
Teleop12.5
End2.3