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Red89
261921.5
967321.1
531426.5
Blue80
20133.6
159615.9
361815.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84800501001508980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
63Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#2
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
89Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5314
#16
26.50.2
26.226.4
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End5.7
blue by 7.0
201
#7
33.60.1
33.533.6
Auto7.9
Teleop22.5
End3.2
Second
2619
#12
21.50.2
21.221.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End5.3
red by 5.6
3618
#30
15.90.1
15.915.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
Third
9673
#11
21.10.2
20.721.0
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End3.7
red by 5.2
1596
#23
15.90.1
15.815.9
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3